The Watch

Intelligence-grade analysis,
sourced and auditable,
same day.

An AI system for intelligence work on the open record. Built by intelligence officers. Compliant with ICD 203 and 206. Every claim traceable to its source.

Tempo

Same day. Most questions return in hours, not weeks. Pipelines run thousands of sources at once, in dozens of languages, on a cadence that catches windows before they close.

Tradecraft

IC standards, encoded. ICD 203 and 206 are the analytic standards the U.S. intelligence community requires of itself. They are encoded in the pipeline. Every judgment carries a confidence level. Every line of reasoning survives review.

Trust

No black boxes. Every claim footnoted. Every source open and inspectable. Every judgment traceable to the reasoning that produced it. If you can’t defend it in a room, it doesn’t ship.

// THE PIPELINE

One intake. Six engines.

Each engine is built for a different question shape. All six work on open-source primary material across dozens of languages. The Intake routes you to the right one.

Slide 1 of 4: A question gets structured.

// HOW IT WORKS / 4 STEPS

01 / 04

A question gets structured.

You write the question in plain language. The Intake structures it into PIOT (Population, Intervention, Outcome, Timeframe) and checks for the gaps that sink bad analysis. If something’s ambiguous, the Intake asks a follow-up before routing. This is the step that makes the next three possible.

  • A question gets structured.

  • Complex questions decompose.

  • One engine. Thousands of sources.

  • A brief you can defend.

Read a full sample brief

// THE STANDARD

Most AI analysis products ship answers. We ship defensibility.

ICD 203 governs analytic standards: source citation, explicit confidence levels, alternative hypotheses, acknowledgment of uncertainty, clean separation of fact from judgment. ICD 206 governs sourcing. Every claim has to be traceable to the document or observation that produced it. These standards exist because senior consumers will not act on analysis they cannot push back on.

Most general-purpose AI tools can't meet this standard because they weren't built for it. They optimize for fluency, not defensibility. They can't tell you which sentence rests on which source. They collapse complex questions into one-shot prompts. They hide their reasoning. They are, in the technical sense, black boxes.

The Watch was built the other way. Every report is structured to survive that review. The tradecraft is the foundation of the system. The people who built this product spent their careers being held to that standard, and they would not ship something that abandoned it.

Read the full tradecraft brief

The same standard. Different missions.

The Watch operates at the standard set by people who do this work for governments. The standard holds when the buyer is a corporation.

/ NATIONAL SECURITY

For the people who set the standard.

Federal, IC-adjacent, and allied-government teams use The Watch to compress the distance between a question and a defensible answer. Target profiles, foundational baselines, anticipatory scenarios, all produced to ICD 203 and 206 with full source provenance. Same-day for most questions.

// EXAMPLE KIQ

"What are the most plausible succession scenarios for Iran's Supreme Leader over the next 24 months, and what observable indicators would distinguish each?"

→ Routed to: Anticipatory

/ ENTERPRISE

For the people who move capital.

Corporate strategy, competitive intelligence, and risk teams use The Watch to get the picture before it's in the headlines. Same tradecraft. Applied to market structure, regulatory exposure, counterparty risk, and scenario planning. Your analysts, with a bench that doesn't sleep.

// EXAMPLE KIQ

"Which European semiconductor firms face the largest revenue impact from the EU AI Act over the next four quarters, and where in their exposure is the leverage?"

→ Routed to: Actionable

// THE BENCH

Tradecraft is a people claim.

The Watch was built by intelligence officers, military analysts, and OSINT practitioners. They built the standard that the product now encodes. The senior team is below. The full bench is on the team page.

Jesse R. Wilson
// CO-FOUNDER
FORMER DIA · 20 YEARS · STRATEGIC INTELLIGENCE
Sarah Schoenfelder
// CO-FOUNDER
Ronald J. Clark
// CO-FOUNDER
Forrest W. Jones
// CO-FOUNDER
David Annis
// CO-FOUNDER
AWK
// CO-FOUNDER
TECHNOLOGIST · GTM
Meet the full bench

If you have a question worth asking, ask it.

We don't have a signup flow. We have a short intake. Tell us who you are and what you're trying to figure out. We'll be in touch within 48 hours.